Summary
Despite volatile headlines, price action has tightened up since mid-January. For the S&P 500 (SPX), price is sitting in the top half of a range going back to early November. While certainly not textbook or picture perfect, the index could be tracing out a complex and non-typical bullish cup-with-handle formation. To complete the pattern, a strong break above the all-time closing high of 6,119 is needed — preferably with some immediate follow-through action. The current trading range is about 355 points wide, so a breakout could open the door for an initial measured move to the 6,300 area and possibly higher. Since mid-January, the price range for the SPX has constricted to about 200 points and some of the short- to intermediate-term moving averages have started to tighten. Price at the top of a range along with slim volatility often is a bullish sign that an index or individual stock is setting up for a breakout move. The SPX also is in a favorable spot based on price channels and volatility bands. On the daily chart, price lies between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands and is in t
